06-29-2015, 10:27 PM
(This post was last modified: 06-29-2015, 10:29 PM by GISED_Link.)

Okay, let me trying something :

bet = p^k * c -> where p is the probability to win, k a constant and c the current fortune you play with. (p ^ k means p power k)

p = "nb of possible win" / "nb turn to play"

The idea : If you are sure to win (if you have lost 5 times), you will bet all your fortune. But it's really effective only if you have more than 1/2 of the start fortune !

You bet according to the probability to win. But the biggest idea, is the k factor. This factor is a "security" factor. if k > 1, it reduces the bet (p ^ k, p is always <=1). With this, you have always enough fortune to bet when you are "sure" to win. When you are sure to win (p = 1), you bet all your money and you double it .

Please look at the joined excel file, you will test by yourself my method.

- the best k factor, in my opinion, is e (2.718)

bet = p^k * c -> where p is the probability to win, k a constant and c the current fortune you play with. (p ^ k means p power k)

p = "nb of possible win" / "nb turn to play"

The idea : If you are sure to win (if you have lost 5 times), you will bet all your fortune. But it's really effective only if you have more than 1/2 of the start fortune !

You bet according to the probability to win. But the biggest idea, is the k factor. This factor is a "security" factor. if k > 1, it reduces the bet (p ^ k, p is always <=1). With this, you have always enough fortune to bet when you are "sure" to win. When you are sure to win (p = 1), you bet all your money and you double it .

Please look at the joined excel file, you will test by yourself my method.

- the best k factor, in my opinion, is e (2.718)

**Attached Files**

Proba_w_l_ORE-SERVER.xlsx (Size: 12.19 KB / Downloads: 7)